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United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2010 : ウィキペディア英語版
United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2010

Elections were held on November 2, 2010 to determine Mississippi's four members of the United States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the 112th United States Congress from January 3, 2011 until January 3, 2013. Primary elections were held on June 1, 2010, and primary runoff elections on June 22.
Of the four elections, the 1st district was rated as competitive by ''Sabato's Crystal Ball'',〔(【引用サイトリンク】title=Mississippi (01) House 2010 )〕 and the 1st and 4th districts were rated as competitive by ''The Cook Political Report'', ''CQ Politics'' and ''The Rothenberg Political Report''. Two of four incumbents were re-elected (Democrat Bennie Thompson of the 2nd district and Republican Gregg Harper of the 3rd district), while two unsuccessfully sought re-election (Democrats Travis Childers of the 1st district and Gene Taylor of the 4th district).
In total, three Republicans and one Democrat were elected.〔(【引用サイトリンク】title=Mississippi )〕 A total of 788,549 votes were cast, of which 423,579 (54 percent) were for Republican candidates, 350,695 (44 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 6,560 (1 percent) were for an independent candidate, 4,292 (1 percent) were for Reform Party candidates, 2,188 (0.3 percent) were for Libertarian Party candidates and 1,235 (0.2 percent) were for a Constitution Party candidate.
==District 1==

In 2010 the 1st district included Horn Lake, Olive Branch, Southaven and Tupelo.〔 The district's population was 69 percent white and 27 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 77 percent were high school graduates and 17 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $38,944.〔(【引用サイトリンク】title=Mississippi 1st District Profile )〕 In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 37 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.〔(【引用サイトリンク】title=Mississippi – 1st District )〕 In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14.〔
Democrat Travis Childers, who was elected in a 2008 special election, was the incumbent. Childers was re-elected in the regularly-scheduled 2008 election with 55 percent of the vote.〔 In May 2009 Childers denied planning to switch parties and seek re-election as a Republican, describing himself as a "Southern Democrat". In 2010 the Republican nominee was Alan Nunnelee, a member of the Mississippi State Senate. A. G. Baddley, an electrician; Les Green, a teacher; Rick "Rico" Hoskins; and Wally Pang, a retired restaurateur, ran as independent candidates. Gail Giaramita, a nurse, ran as the Constitution Party nominee. Harold Taylor, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Mississippi, ran as the Libertarian Party nominee. Barbara Dale Washer, a teacher, ran as the Reform Party nominee.
Angela McGlowan, a Fox News political analyst; and Henry Ross, a former mayor of Eupora, also ran for the Republican nomination. Greg Davis, the mayor of Southaven who ran unsuccessfully in both 2008 elections, said in March 2009 that he would not run again in 2010. Merle Flowers, a member of the Mississippi Senate, met with the National Republican Congressional Committee in June 2009, but ultimately decided not to run.
Childers raised $1,817,037 and spent $1,796,376. Nunnelee raised $1,739,384 and spent $1,617,120. Green raised $40,296 and spent the same amount. Pang raised no money and spent $6,900. Giaramita raised $12,730 and spent $12,913.〔(【引用サイトリンク】title=Mississippi District 01 Race )
In a poll of 303 likely voters, conducted in June 2010 by the Tarrance Group for Nunnelee's campaign, 50 percent of respondents supported Nunnelee while 42 percent favored Childers and 8 percent were undecideed. In an Anzalone-Liszt poll of 400 likely voters, conducted in August and September 2010, Childers led with 46 percent to Nunnelee's 41 percent. Republican internal polls of 300 likely voters by Tarrance, conducted in September and October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 48 percent to 41 percent and by 51 percent to 40 percent respectively.〔(【引用サイトリンク】title=Mississippi 1st District )〕 A poll of 603 likely voters, conducted by Penn Schoen Berland in October 2010, found Nunnelee leading Childers by 44 percent to 39 percent with 12 percent undecided.
''Sabato's Crystal Ball'' rated the race as "Leans Republican".〔 In October 2010 ''The Cook Political Report'' rated the race as a "toss up"〔 and ''CQ Politics'' rated the race as a "tossup".〔 In November 2010''The Rothenberg Political Report'' rated it as "Toss-up/Tilt Republican".〔 ''FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Nunnelee an 82 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 52 percent of the vote to Childers's 45 percent.〔
On election day Nunnelee was elected with 55 percent of the vote to Childers's 41 percent. Nunnelee was re-elected in 2012 and 2014. Childers unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. Senate in 2014.

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